Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.195853 0.210799 0.226571 0.244496 0.264351 0.285727 0.310555
2025-12-28 0.172416 0.194343 0.218959 0.248832 0.284360 0.325587 0.377525
2026-01-04 0.157064 0.182858 0.213114 0.251632 0.299957 0.359392 0.439316
2026-01-11 0.144842 0.172862 0.206866 0.251827 0.310726 0.386743 0.494823
2026-01-18 0.133078 0.161937 0.197912 0.246949 0.313496 0.402909 0.536239
2026-01-25 0.122546 0.151511 0.188428 0.240045 0.312224 0.412629 0.568771
2026-02-01 0.114593 0.143721 0.181597 0.235801 0.313735 0.425748 0.607114
2026-02-08 0.107337 0.136296 0.174614 0.230582 0.313063 0.435158 0.640303
2026-02-15 0.101479 0.130343 0.169159 0.226953 0.314146 0.446929 0.678266
2026-02-22 0.098295 0.127809 0.168195 0.229591 0.324632 0.473999 0.745118
2026-03-01 0.094195 0.123739 0.164762 0.228233 0.328676 0.490910 0.796254
2026-03-08 0.090304 0.119738 0.161158 0.226294 0.331504 0.505869 0.845627
2026-03-15 0.085586 0.114428 0.155503 0.221047 0.328903 0.511933 0.880294
2026-03-22 0.083893 0.113416 0.156141 0.225680 0.343061 0.548883 0.982441
2026-03-29 0.081789 0.111675 0.155553 0.228261 0.353885 0.580966 1.080446
2026-04-05 0.079255 0.109156 0.153611 0.228449 0.360465 0.605741 1.167117
2026-04-12 0.075849 0.105162 0.149166 0.224163 0.358623 0.613921 1.217214
2026-04-19 0.072267 0.100751 0.143859 0.218088 0.353006 0.613954 1.247848
2026-04-26 0.069442 0.097390 0.140057 0.214350 0.351416 0.621963 1.299695
2026-05-03 0.066607 0.093904 0.135900 0.209749 0.347824 0.625396 1.340498
2026-05-10 0.064239 0.091058 0.132650 0.206547 0.346661 0.633842 1.396313
2026-05-17 0.063146 0.090168 0.132534 0.208875 0.356438 0.667151 1.527966
2026-05-24 0.061409 0.088190 0.130533 0.207677 0.359076 0.684781 1.618806